Question: We plan to go through the Strait of Belle Isle about July 1st. Is this practical given ice conditions? I have been told that a northeast wind can choke the Strait with ice at that time of year. I also have been told that ice is less likely on the Newfoundland side of the Strait.
Answer: Tackling the Strait of Belle Isle on July 1st is perhaps a bit early but there is just no good answer. Some years you will have no problems, others you won’t get through. At a guess I would say that your chances of getting through July 1st are better than 70/30. The thing is, ice limits are just averages, as you know, and there is a huge variation between different years. We try to always have a plan B. Yours might be to be there early enough that if it is blocked you can go south around Newfoundland and leave from St. John’s. As to less ice on the Newfoundland shore, yes perhaps, but if there was a lot of pack in the Strait, I would be very leery about penetrating a narrow lead between the shore and the ice, in a part of the world where the weather can change so quickly.
