The Offshore Voyaging Reference Site

Never Trust a Hurricane

As you can imagine, I’m watching hurricane Erin very carefully, and this morning, as is my habit, I was reading the forecast discussion when this jumped out at me:

After 36 hours, there has been a notable increase in forward speed among the models when Erin becomes embedded in the mid-latitude westerlies, and the NHC forecast has been adjusted accordingly. These changes are most evident at days 4 and 5, with the new day 5 position about 600 n mi northeast of the previous day 5 forecast point.

Emphases mine

National Hurricane Centre

Just think about that for a moment…yes, you got it:


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Whitall Stokes

Yes, trip to Newfoundland significantly delayed. Maine has been glorious though as I wait for Erin to pass.